📊 Macro

Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
72%
No
28%
No (28%)Yes (72%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Macro
Vol 24h
Liquidity
$1k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 72%. Polymarket has moved up 26pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of Canada's target for the overnight rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bank of Canada (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
72%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume
Liquidity$1k
CategoryMacro
StatusOpen