📊 Macro

Bank of England rate hike in 2026?

Live

Resolves Jan 1, 2027Polymarket

Volume-weighted avg

84%

16%

No (16%)Yes (84%)

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Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 84%. Polymarket has moved up 2pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.