Blue wave in 2026? — Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House AND hold 49 or more seats in the Senate?

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 82%. Kalshi has moved up 8pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If ALL of the following occur: Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Blue wave in 2026?