🗳️ Elections
Brazil presidential election: first round winner?
Brazil presidential election: first round winner? — Flávio Bolsonaro
Live
Resolves Oct 4, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
30%
No
70%
No (70%)Yes (30%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$16k
Liquidity
$44k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 30%. Kalshi has moved up 9pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If Flávio Bolsonaro wins the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Brazil presidential election: first round winner?
Brazil presidential election: first round winner? — Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
69%
Brazil presidential election: first round winner? — Augusto Cury
1%
Brazil presidential election: first round winner? — Renan Santos
0%
Brazil presidential election: first round winner? — Romeu Zema
0%
Brazil presidential election: first round winner? — Tarcísio de Freitas
0%
Brazil presidential election: first round winner? — Fernando Haddad
0%
Brazil presidential election: first round winner? — Ronaldo Caiado
0%
Resolution
Oct 4, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$16k
Liquidity$44k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen