🗳️ Elections
Brazil presidential election: first round winner?
Brazil presidential election: first round winner? — Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
Live
Resolves Oct 4, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
69%
No
31%
No (31%)Yes (69%)
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$10k
Liquidity
$25k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 69%. Kalshi has moved down 10pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva wins the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Brazil presidential election: first round winner?
Brazil presidential election: first round winner? — Flávio Bolsonaro
30%
Brazil presidential election: first round winner? — Augusto Cury
1%
Brazil presidential election: first round winner? — Renan Santos
0%
Brazil presidential election: first round winner? — Romeu Zema
0%
Brazil presidential election: first round winner? — Tarcísio de Freitas
0%
Brazil presidential election: first round winner? — Fernando Haddad
0%
Brazil presidential election: first round winner? — Ronaldo Caiado
0%
Resolution
Oct 4, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$10k
Liquidity$25k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen