🗳️ Elections
Brazil presidential runoff: Lula vote percent

Brazil presidential runoff: Lula vote percent — At least 45%

Live
Resolves Oct 25, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
96%
No
4%
No (4%)Yes (96%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$16k
Liquidity
$2k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 96%.

About this market

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 45% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Brazil presidential runoff: Lula vote percent

Brazil presidential runoff: Lula vote percent — At least 44%
98%
Brazil presidential runoff: Lula vote percent — At least 46%
91%
Brazil presidential runoff: Lula vote percent — At least 47%
80%
Brazil presidential runoff: Lula vote percent — At least 48%
61%
Brazil presidential runoff: Lula vote percent — At least 49%
35%
Brazil presidential runoff: Lula vote percent — At least 50%
16%
Brazil presidential runoff: Lula vote percent — At least 51%
10%
Brazil presidential runoff: Lula vote percent — At least 52%
4%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
96%
probability of YES
Kalshi
96%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Oct 25, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$16k
Liquidity$2k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen