🗳️ Elections

California High-Earner Permanent Tax Proposition

Live
Resolves Nov 4, 2026Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
94%
No
6%
No (6%)Yes (94%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$13k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 94%.

About this market

Proposition 3 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would make permanent a temporary income tax (up to 12%) on high earners that voters approved in 2012, set to expire in 2031. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
94%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Nov 4, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$13k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen