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Closest Governor race in 2026?

Closest Governor race in 2026? — Kansas

Live
Resolves Jan 20, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
95%
No
5%
No (5%)Yes (95%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$7k
Liquidity
$14k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 95%. Kalshi has moved up 86pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If Kansas has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States gubernatorial elections as of Jan 20, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Closest Governor race in 2026?

Closest Governor race in 2026? — Florida
5%
Closest Governor race in 2026? — Michigan
4%
Closest Governor race in 2026? — Alaska
3%
Closest Governor race in 2026? — Colorado
1%
Closest Governor race in 2026? — South Carolina
1%
Closest Governor race in 2026? — Nebraska
1%
Closest Governor race in 2026? — Texas
1%
Closest Governor race in 2026? — Oklahoma
1%
Closest Governor race in 2026? — Vermont
1%
Closest Governor race in 2026? — New Hampshire
1%
Closest Governor race in 2026? — Wisconsin
1%
Closest Governor race in 2026? — Ohio
1%
Closest Governor race in 2026? — South Dakota
1%
Closest Governor race in 2026? — Oregon
1%
Closest Governor race in 2026? — Minnesota
0%
Closest Governor race in 2026? — Nevada
0%
Closest Governor race in 2026? — Arizona
0%
Closest Governor race in 2026? — Pennsylvania
0%
Closest Governor race in 2026? — Georgia
0%
Closest Governor race in 2026? — Maine
0%
Closest Governor race in 2026? — New Mexico
0%
Closest Governor race in 2026? — New York
0%
Closest Governor race in 2026? — Iowa
0%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
95%
probability of YES
Kalshi
95%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Jan 20, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$7k
Liquidity$14k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen