🗳️ Elections

Collins flips Jackson for Maine Senate by November 2?

Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2026Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
44%
No
56%
No (56%)Yes (44%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$3k
Liquidity
$21k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 44%.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Susan Collins (R)'s hourly odds value is higher than Troy Jackson (D)'s hourly odds value in the "Maine Senate Election 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for 4 consecutive hourly odds values, all published for a datapoint between market creation and November 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes for an option for a one-hour "Time Window (ET)", as shown on the listing page and in the "Odds History" graph. Hourly odds values are compared at the precision published by PredictionMarketOdds.com (one tenth of a percent). An hour in which the two values are equal does not count as Susan Collins (R) being higher and ends any run of consecutive hourly odds values. Hours for which PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes no hourly odds value for either option (shown as "NO_PRINT") will be disregarded and will neither count toward nor end a run of consecutive hourly odds values. If PredictionMarketOdds.com permanently ceases publishing hourly odds values for Susan Collins (R) or Troy Jackson (D) in the "Maine Senate Election 2026" listing before November 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, including by removing either option from the listing, this market will resolve based on the hourly odds values published up to that point. If no hourly odds values have been published for both Susan Collins (R) and Troy Jackson (D) between market creation and November 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the underlying market is officially decided before the listed date and time, this market will resolve to "Yes" if Susan Collins (R) is the outcome of the underlying market and otherwise to "No". If a published hourly odds value is clearly erroneous as a result of a technical or operational error, this market may remain open for up to an additional 48 hours after that value is first published to allow for a corr

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
44%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Nov 3, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$3k
Liquidity$21k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen