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🗳️ Elections
Democratic Senate Seat Count (2028)

Democratic Senate Seat Count (2028) — Below 45

Live
Resolves Feb 1, 2029Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
8%
No
92%
No (92%)Yes (8%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$2
Liquidity
$1k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 8%.

About this market

If the Democratic party has below 45 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Democratic Senate Seat Count (2028)

Democratic Senate Seat Count (2028) — 53
14%
Democratic Senate Seat Count (2028) — 52
10%
Democratic Senate Seat Count (2028) — 51
10%
Democratic Senate Seat Count (2028) — 54
9%
Democratic Senate Seat Count (2028) — 48
9%
Democratic Senate Seat Count (2028) — Above 56
8%
Democratic Senate Seat Count (2028) — 49
7%
Democratic Senate Seat Count (2028) — 50
7%
Democratic Senate Seat Count (2028) — 55
7%
Democratic Senate Seat Count (2028) — 47
6%
Democratic Senate Seat Count (2028) — 56
6%
Democratic Senate Seat Count (2028) — 45
5%
Democratic Senate Seat Count (2028) — 46
5%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
8%
probability of YES
Kalshi
8%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Feb 1, 2029
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$2
Liquidity$1k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen