🗳️ Elections

FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
3%
No
97%
No (97%)Yes (3%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$637
Liquidity
$20k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 3%.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Communications Commission (FCC), or an authorized representative of the FCC, publicly and officially announces the revocation, cancellation, denial of renewal, or non-renewal of the broadcast license of any full-power ABC, CBS, NBC, or Fox television station, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying station is any full-power television broadcast station in the United States that is, at the time of the announcement, an owned-and-operated station or affiliate of the ABC, CBS, NBC, or Fox broadcast networks. Actions against low-power stations, translator stations, Class A stations, radio stations, or stations not affiliated with one of the four listed networks do not qualify. An announcement qualifies if it communicates that the FCC is revoking, cancelling, denying renewal of, or otherwise terminating a qualifying station's broadcast license, including an order that the license will not be renewed upon expiration. A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of the FCC's present revocation, cancellation, or denial of the license, a previously-unannounced prior revocation, cancellation, or denial, or a definitive decision to revoke, cancel, or deny the license. A qualifying announcement must clearly and unambiguously identify the revocation, cancellation, or denial of a qualifying station's license. Statements that merely allude to, reference, threaten, or describe a potential revocation, without clearly communicating a decided action, do not qualify. The announcement need not use specific terminology; an announcement that a qualifying station's license has been terminated, rescinded, or will not be renewed qualifies, provided the substantive action against the license is clearly and unambiguously communicated. A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual or body acting in an official capacity,

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
3%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$637
Liquidity$20k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen