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Fed decision in Jan 2027?

Fed decision in Jan 2027? — Hike 25bps

Live
Resolves Jan 27, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
58%
No
42%
No (42%)Yes (58%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Macro
Vol 24h
$6k
Liquidity
$66k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 58%. Kalshi has moved up 33pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 25bps on January 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Fed decision in Jan 2027?

Fed decision in Jan 2027? — Fed maintains rate
42%
Fed decision in Jan 2027? — Hike >25bps
2%
Fed decision in Jan 2027? — Cut >25bps
1%
Fed decision in Jan 2027? — Cut 25bps
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
58%
probability of YES
Kalshi
58%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Jan 27, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$6k
Liquidity$66k
CategoryMacro
StatusOpen