📊 Macro

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
2%
No
98%
No (98%)Yes (2%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Macro
Vol 24h
$115
Liquidity
$25k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 2%. Polymarket has moved down 6pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026. The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
2%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$115
Liquidity$25k
CategoryMacro
StatusOpen