📊 Macro
Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting?

Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting? — Above 4.00%

Live
Resolves Dec 9, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
85%
No
15%
No (15%)Yes (85%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Macro
Vol 24h
$280
Liquidity
$17k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 85%. Kalshi has moved up 18pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 4.00% following the Federal Reserve's Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting?

Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting? — Above 2.75%
99%
Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting? — Above 3.00%
99%
Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting? — Above 3.25%
98%
Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting? — Above 3.50%
98%
Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting? — Above 3.75%
98%
Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting? — Above 4.25%
42%
Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting? — Above 4.50%
9%
Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting? — Above 4.75%
2%
Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting? — Above 5.00%
2%
Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting? — Above 5.25%
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
85%
probability of YES
Kalshi
85%Check
TGWA
Create Widget
Resolution
Dec 9, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$280
Liquidity$17k
CategoryMacro
StatusOpen