📊 Macro
Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting?
Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting? — Above 4.50%
Live
Resolves Dec 9, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
9%
No
91%
No (91%)Yes (9%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Macro
Vol 24h
$6k
Liquidity
$7k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 9%. Kalshi has moved up 8pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 4.50% following the Federal Reserve's Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting?
Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting? — Above 3.00%
99%
Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting? — Above 2.75%
99%
Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting? — Above 3.50%
98%
Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting? — Above 3.25%
98%
Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting? — Above 3.75%
98%
Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting? — Above 4.00%
85%
Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting? — Above 4.25%
42%
Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting? — Above 5.00%
2%
Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting? — Above 4.75%
2%
Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting? — Above 5.25%
1%
Resolution
Dec 9, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$6k
Liquidity$7k
CategoryMacro
StatusOpen