📊 Macro
Fed rate cut before 2027?

Fed rate cut before 2027? — Cuts

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
5%
No
95%
No (95%)Yes (5%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Macro
Vol 24h
$6k
Liquidity
$545k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 5%. Kalshi has moved down 3pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the Federal Reserve cuts its target federal funds rate range at least once between February 26, 2026 and December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
5%
probability of YES
Kalshi
5%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$6k
Liquidity$545k
CategoryMacro
StatusOpen