🗳️ Elections
Florida Governor margin of victory
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 12+ pts
Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
15%
No
85%
No (85%)Yes (15%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$144
Liquidity
$3k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 15%. Kalshi has moved up 4pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida by 12 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Florida Governor margin of victory
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 1+ pts
77%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 3+ pts
66%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 6+ pts
40%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 9+ pts
20%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Jolly, 3+ pts
11%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Jolly, 6+ pts
6%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 15+ pts
6%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 18+ pts
2%
Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$144
Liquidity$3k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen