🗳️ Elections
Florida Senate margin of victory
Florida Senate margin of victory — Moody, 9+ pts
Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
30%
No
70%
No (70%)Yes (30%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$2k
Liquidity
$3k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 30%. Kalshi has moved down 15pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Florida by 9 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Florida Senate margin of victory
Florida Senate margin of victory — Moody, 1+ pts
88%
Florida Senate margin of victory — Moody, 2+ pts
83%
Florida Senate margin of victory — Moody, 3+ pts
77%
Florida Senate margin of victory — Moody, 4+ pts
68%
Florida Senate margin of victory — Moody, 5+ pts
63%
Florida Senate margin of victory — Moody, 6+ pts
51%
Florida Senate margin of victory — Moody, 8+ pts
39%
Florida Senate margin of victory — Moody, 7+ pts
38%
Florida Senate margin of victory — Moody, 10+ pts
28%
Florida Senate margin of victory — Moody, 11+ pts
20%
Florida Senate margin of victory — Moody, 12+ pts
16%
Florida Senate margin of victory — Moody, 16+ pts
9%
Florida Senate margin of victory — Moody, 14+ pts
8%
Florida Senate margin of victory — Nixon, 2+ pts
6%
Florida Senate margin of victory — Moody, 18+ pts
6%
Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$2k
Liquidity$3k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen