🗳️ Elections
Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?
Live
Resolves Nov 1, 2026PolymarketVolume-weighted avg
3%
No
97%
No (97%)Yes (3%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$1k
Liquidity
$15k
Market intelligence
Polymarket currently prices this at 3%.
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Flávio Bolsonaro is charged with a crime or arrested by Brazilian authorities, including by authorities of any state or other subdivision of Brazil, by October 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government involved in any action against Bolsonaro and information from Bolsonaro and/or his legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution
Nov 1, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$1k
Liquidity$15k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen