🗳️ Elections

Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?

Live
Resolves Nov 1, 2026Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
3%
No
97%
No (97%)Yes (3%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$1k
Liquidity
$15k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 3%.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Flávio Bolsonaro is charged with a crime or arrested by Brazilian authorities, including by authorities of any state or other subdivision of Brazil, by October 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government involved in any action against Bolsonaro and information from Bolsonaro and/or his legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
3%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Nov 1, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$1k
Liquidity$15k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen