🗳️ Elections
Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (10/30-11/6)?

Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (10/30-11/6)? — Above 8.5%

Live
Resolves Nov 6, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
81%
No
19%
No (19%)Yes (81%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$5k
Liquidity
$3k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 81%.

About this market

If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is above 8.5% at 10:00 AM ET on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
81%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Nov 6, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$5k
Liquidity$3k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen