🗳️ Elections
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 3, 2026?

Generic congressional ballot on Oct 3, 2026? — 8.7%

Live
Resolves Oct 3, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
1%
No
99%
No (99%)Yes (1%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
—

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 1%.

About this market

If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 8.7% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Generic congressional ballot on Oct 3, 2026?

Generic congressional ballot on Oct 3, 2026? — 8.8%
99%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 3, 2026? — Below 8.6%
1%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 3, 2026? — 9.2%
1%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 3, 2026? — Above 9.2%
1%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 3, 2026? — 9.1%
1%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 3, 2026? — 9.0%
1%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 3, 2026? — 8.6%
1%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 3, 2026? — 8.9%
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
1%
probability of YES
Kalshi
1%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Oct 3, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity—
CategoryElections
StatusOpen