🗳️ Elections
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 3, 2026?

Generic congressional ballot on Oct 3, 2026? — 8.8%

Live
Resolves Oct 3, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
99%
No
1%
No (1%)Yes (99%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$2k
Liquidity
$2k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 99%.

About this market

If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 8.8% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Generic congressional ballot on Oct 3, 2026?

Generic congressional ballot on Oct 3, 2026? — 8.7%
4%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 3, 2026? — Below 8.6%
1%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 3, 2026? — 9.2%
1%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 3, 2026? — Above 9.2%
1%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 3, 2026? — 9.1%
1%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 3, 2026? — 9.0%
1%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 3, 2026? — 8.9%
1%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 3, 2026? — 8.6%
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
99%
probability of YES
Kalshi
99%Check
TGWA
Create Widget
Resolution
Oct 3, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen