📊 Macro

GFL announces take-private in 2026?

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
46%
No
54%
No (54%)Yes (46%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Macro
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$18

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 46%.

About this market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if GFL Environmental announces that it has entered into a definitive agreement with any third-party to take the company under completely private ownership by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement must provide for the acquisition of 100% of GFL Environmental Inc.'s outstanding publicly traded equity, such that GFL's shares would cease to be listed on public exchanges. A share repurchase or buyback program will only qualify if it is part of a definitive agreement resulting in the acquisition of 100% of GFL's publicly traded equity and the delisting of its shares. A merger with or acquisition by another company in which GFL shareholders receive publicly listed equity, or in which GFL or its successor remains publicly traded, will not qualify. Letters of intent, memoranda of understanding, announcements of exploration of options, offers, negotiations, or other non-definitive actions will not qualify. Agreements covering only a portion of the company will not qualify. A qualifying announcement of a definitive agreement occurring within the specified timeframe will qualify regardless of whether the deal closes or is later withdrawn. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from GFL Environmental.

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
46%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$18
CategoryMacro
StatusOpen