🗳️ Elections
Government shutdown on Dec 12, 2026?
Live
Resolves Dec 12, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
29%
No
71%
No (71%)Yes (29%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$18k
Liquidity
$52k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 29%. Kalshi has moved down 6pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the United States federal government is at least partially shut down due to a lapse of appropriations at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Resolution
Dec 12, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$18k
Liquidity$52k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen