🗳️ Elections

Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?

Live
Resolves Oct 1, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
1%
No
99%
No (99%)Yes (1%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$3k
Liquidity
$341k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 1%. Kalshi has moved down 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the United States federal government is at least partially shut down due to a lapse of appropriations at 10:00 AM ET on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Related Markets

AfD in a German state government in 2026?
Elections
34%
Will NYC’s rent freeze take effect on October 1?
Elections
91%
Trump goes to space in 2026?
Elections
2%
SPLC found guilty in 2026?
Elections
13%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
1%
probability of YES
Kalshi
1%Check
TGWA
Create Widget
Resolution
Oct 1, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$3k
Liquidity$341k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen