🎯 Other
How many Democrats won't back Jeffries on the first ballot?
How many Democrats won't back Jeffries on the first ballot? — At least 5
Live
Resolves Feb 1, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
68%
No
32%
No (32%)Yes (68%)
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$6k
Liquidity
$5k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 68%.
About this market
If the number of Democratic Representatives who vote for a candidate other than Hakeem Jeffries, or vote Present, on the first roll call for Speaker of the House at the opening of the 120th Congress is at least 5 before Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · How many Democrats won't back Jeffries on the first ballot?
How many Democrats won't back Jeffries on the first ballot? — At least 1
92%
How many Democrats won't back Jeffries on the first ballot? — At least 3
80%
How many Democrats won't back Jeffries on the first ballot? — At least 8
44%
How many Democrats won't back Jeffries on the first ballot? — At least 12
28%
How many Democrats won't back Jeffries on the first ballot? — At least 15
14%
How many Democrats won't back Jeffries on the first ballot? — At least 20
11%
Resolution
Feb 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$6k
Liquidity$5k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen