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How many House seats will Democrats win in the Midterms?

How many House seats will Democrats win in the Midterms? — At least 234

Live
Resolves Jan 3, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
97%
No
3%
No (3%)Yes (97%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$5k
Liquidity
$7k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 97%. Kalshi has moved up 31pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the number of U.S. House seats won by Democratic Party candidates is at least 234 in the 2026 U.S. House elections, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · How many House seats will Democrats win in the Midterms?

How many House seats will Democrats win in the Midterms? — At least 222
99%
How many House seats will Democrats win in the Midterms? — At least 210
99%
How many House seats will Democrats win in the Midterms? — At least 214
99%
How many House seats will Democrats win in the Midterms? — At least 218
99%
How many House seats will Democrats win in the Midterms? — At least 246
98%
How many House seats will Democrats win in the Midterms? — At least 238
97%
How many House seats will Democrats win in the Midterms? — At least 230
97%
How many House seats will Democrats win in the Midterms? — At least 242
95%
How many House seats will Democrats win in the Midterms? — At least 226
95%
How many House seats will Democrats win in the Midterms? — At least 250
94%
How many House seats will Democrats win in the Midterms? — At least 254
92%
How many House seats will Democrats win in the Midterms? — At least 258
92%
How many House seats will Democrats win in the Midterms? — At least 262
52%
How many House seats will Democrats win in the Midterms? — At least 266
16%
How many House seats will Democrats win in the Midterms? — At least 270
12%
How many House seats will Democrats win in the Midterms? — At least 274
7%
How many House seats will Democrats win in the Midterms? — At least 278
2%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
97%
probability of YES
Kalshi
97%Check
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Resolution
Jan 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$5k
Liquidity$7k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen