How many nominees will the Senate confirm in the lame duck? — At least 10

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Resolves Jan 4, 2027Kalshi

Volume-weighted avg

98%

No (2%)Yes (98%)

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Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 98%.

About this market

If the number of civilian nominees confirmed by the Senate is at least 10 after Issuance and before the 119th Congress ends on Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · How many nominees will the Senate confirm in the lame duck?

How many nominees will the Senate confirm in the lame duck? — At least 25

88%

How many nominees will the Senate confirm in the lame duck? — At least 50

86%

How many nominees will the Senate confirm in the lame duck? — At least 75

75%

How many nominees will the Senate confirm in the lame duck? — At least 125

64%

How many nominees will the Senate confirm in the lame duck? — At least 100

64%

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Avg probability

98%

probability of YES

Kalshi

98%Check

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Resolution

Jan 4, 2027

Market is open

Market stats

24h volume$7k

Liquidity$6k

CategoryElections

StatusOpen