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How many PJM capacity emergency days will there be in 2026?

How many PJM capacity emergency days will there be in 2026? — Above 15 days

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
45%
No
55%
No (55%)Yes (45%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$5k
Liquidity
$8k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 45%. Kalshi has moved up 16pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the the number of calendar days on which an RTO-wide PJM Maximum Generation Emergency/Load Management Alert – Capacity Emergency – NERC EEA 1 was applicable in 2026 is above 15 days, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · How many PJM capacity emergency days will there be in 2026?

How many PJM capacity emergency days will there be in 2026? — Above 20 days
11%
How many PJM capacity emergency days will there be in 2026? — Above 25 days
5%
How many PJM capacity emergency days will there be in 2026? — Above 30 days
2%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
45%
probability of YES
Kalshi
45%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$5k
Liquidity$8k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen