How many PJM capacity emergency days will there be in 2026? — Above 30 days

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Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi

Volume-weighted avg

98%

No (98%)Yes (2%)

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Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 2%.

About this market

If the the number of calendar days on which an RTO-wide PJM Maximum Generation Emergency/Load Management Alert – Capacity Emergency – NERC EEA 1 was applicable in 2026 is above 30 days, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · How many PJM capacity emergency days will there be in 2026?

How many PJM capacity emergency days will there be in 2026? — Above 15 days

45%

How many PJM capacity emergency days will there be in 2026? — Above 20 days

11%

How many PJM capacity emergency days will there be in 2026? — Above 25 days

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Avg probability

probability of YES

Kalshi

2%Check

TG WA

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Resolution

Jan 1, 2027

Market is open

Market stats

24h volume—

Liquidity$7k

CategoryOther

StatusOpen