🗳️ Elections
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2026 election? (Directional)
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2026 election? (Directional) — At least 49
Live
Resolves Feb 1, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
90%
No
10%
No (10%)Yes (90%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$5k
Liquidity
$3k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 90%.
About this market
If the Democratic Party holds at least 49 seats in the U.S. Senate at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 3, 2026, general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2026 election? (Directional)
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2026 election? (Directional) — At least 46
99%
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2026 election? (Directional) — At least 47
97%
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2026 election? (Directional) — At least 48
94%
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2026 election? (Directional) — At least 50
83%
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2026 election? (Directional) — At least 51
76%
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2026 election? (Directional) — At least 52
68%
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2026 election? (Directional) — At least 53
60%
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2026 election? (Directional) — At least 54
43%
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2026 election? (Directional) — At least 55
24%
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2026 election? (Directional) — At least 56
12%
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2026 election? (Directional) — At least 57
6%
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2026 election? (Directional) — At least 58
5%
Resolution
Feb 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$5k
Liquidity$3k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen