🗳️ Elections
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?

How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? — Below 45

Live
Resolves Feb 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
4%
No
96%
No (96%)Yes (4%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$10k
Liquidity
$267k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 4%. Kalshi has moved down 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the Democratic Party has below 45 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
4%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Feb 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$10k
Liquidity$267k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen