🗳️ Elections
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes)
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes) — Below 53
Live
Resolves Feb 1, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
70%
No
30%
No (30%)Yes (70%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$11k
Liquidity
$29k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 70%. Kalshi has moved down 9pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the Democratic party has below 53 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes)
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes) — 53
12%
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes) — 54
11%
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes) — 55
4%
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes) — Above 57
3%
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes) — 56
2%
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes) — 57
1%
Resolution
Feb 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$11k
Liquidity$29k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen