🗳️ Elections
How much government spending will Trump cut before 2027?

How much government spending will Trump cut before 2027? — At least 50 billion

Live
Resolves Mar 31, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
5%
No
95%
No (95%)Yes (5%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$815
Liquidity
$11k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 5%. Kalshi has moved down 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If government spending (FGEXPND) is at least $50 billion below the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · How much government spending will Trump cut before 2027?

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
5%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Mar 31, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$815
Liquidity$11k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen