🎯 Other
Human moon landing in 2026?
Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027PolymarketVolume-weighted avg
2%
No
98%
No (98%)Yes (2%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$57
Liquidity
$24k
Market intelligence
Polymarket currently prices this at 2%. Polymarket has moved down 1pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any human-crewed mission lands on the moon between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A touchdown of the spacecraft with humans aboard will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of technical complications. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$57
Liquidity$24k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen