🎯 Other

Human moon landing in 2026?

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
1%
No
99%
No (99%)Yes (1%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$1k
Liquidity
$25k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 1%.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any human-crewed mission lands on the moon between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A touchdown of the spacecraft with humans aboard will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of technical complications. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
1%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$1k
Liquidity$25k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen