🗳️ Elections
Iowa Governor margin of victory
Iowa Governor margin of victory — Sand, 9+ pts
Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
21%
No
79%
No (79%)Yes (21%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$11k
Liquidity
$26k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 21%. Kalshi has moved down 12pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Iowa by 9 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Iowa Governor margin of victory
Iowa Governor margin of victory — Sand, 1+ pts
82%
Iowa Governor margin of victory — Sand, 3+ pts
70%
Iowa Governor margin of victory — Sand, 6+ pts
41%
Iowa Governor margin of victory — Sand, 12+ pts
11%
Iowa Governor margin of victory — Lahn, 3+ pts
10%
Iowa Governor margin of victory — Lahn, 6+ pts
7%
Iowa Governor margin of victory — Sand, 15+ pts
4%
Iowa Governor margin of victory — Lahn, 9+ pts
2%
Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$11k
Liquidity$26k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen