🎯 Other

Iran Nuke before 2027?

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
5%
No
95%
No (95%)Yes (5%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$526
Liquidity
$87k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 5%.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

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Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
5%
probability of YES
Polymarket
5%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$526
Liquidity$87k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen