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Israeli Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

Israeli Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place — Likud

Live
Resolves Oct 27, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
3%
No
97%
No (97%)Yes (3%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$60
Liquidity
$781

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 3%. Kalshi has moved up 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If Likud finishes in 3rd place in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Israeli Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

Israeli Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place — Together
98%
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place — Yisrael Beiteinu
6%
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place — United Torah Judaism
5%
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place — Joint List (Hadash–Ta'al–Balad)
2%
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place — People of Israel
2%
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place — Noam for Israel
1%
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place — Religious Zionist Party
1%
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place — Israel First
1%
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place — The Democrats
1%
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place — Otzma Yehudit
1%
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place — Religious Zionist Party–Zehut
1%
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place — Reservists–New Economic Party
1%
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place — Zionist Home–The Reservists
1%
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place — A Place for All of Us
1%
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place — Zehut
1%
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place — Shas
1%
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place — Ra'am
1%
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place — Blue and White
1%
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place — Yashar
1%
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place — Haredi Public
1%
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place — Unity
1%
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place — New Economic Party
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
3%
probability of YES
Kalshi
3%Check
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Resolution
Oct 27, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$60
Liquidity$781
CategoryElections
StatusOpen