📊 Macro

Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?

Live

Resolves Jan 1, 2027Polymarket

Volume-weighted avg

99%

No (99%)Yes (1%)

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Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 1%.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jerome Powell serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.