🗳️ Elections

AfD in a German state government in 2026?

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
36%
No
64%
No (64%)Yes (36%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
—

About this market

If the Alternative fuer Deutschland has entered a German state government after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
36%
probability of YES
Kalshi
36%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity—
CategoryElections
StatusOpen