🎯 Other
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026? — DeepSeek
Live
Resolves Dec 31, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
12%
No
88%
No (88%)Yes (12%)
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$240
Liquidity
$240
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 12%.
About this market
If DeepSeek has a model on the Pareto frontier of Artificial Analysis's Intelligence Index vs. Cost per Intelligence Index Task chart on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026? — OpenAI
89%
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026? — Anthropic
81%
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026? — Xiaomi
64%
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026? — Google
54%
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026? — Z AI
26%
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026? — Meta
19%
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026? — Alibaba
18%
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026? — xAI
17%
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026? — Tencent
14%
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026? — Moonshot AI
11%
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026? — MiniMax
9%
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026? — StepFun
8%
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026? — Mistral
8%
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026? — NVIDIA
8%
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026? — InclusionAI
6%
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026? — Thinking Machines
6%
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026? — IBM
2%
Resolution
Dec 31, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$240
Liquidity$240
CategoryOther
StatusOpen