🗳️ Elections
Trump's approval rating on Oct 16, 2026?
Trump's approval rating on Oct 16, 2026? — Below 37.0
Live
Resolves Oct 16, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
7%
No
93%
No (93%)Yes (7%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$6k
Liquidity
$6k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 7%.
About this market
If the President's approval rating is below 37.0% at 11:00 AM ET on October 16, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Trump's approval rating on Oct 16, 2026?
Trump's approval rating on Oct 16, 2026? — 37.9 to 38.1
22%
Trump's approval rating on Oct 16, 2026? — 38.2 to 38.4
21%
Trump's approval rating on Oct 16, 2026? — 37.6 to 37.8
19%
Trump's approval rating on Oct 16, 2026? — 38.5 to 38.7
15%
Trump's approval rating on Oct 16, 2026? — Above 38.7
14%
Trump's approval rating on Oct 16, 2026? — 37.3 to 37.5
12%
Trump's approval rating on Oct 16, 2026? — 37.0 to 37.2
8%
Resolution
Oct 16, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$6k
Liquidity$6k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen