🗳️ Elections
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/26 - 11/1)
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/26 - 11/1) — Above 170
Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
86%
No
14%
No (14%)Yes (86%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$444
Liquidity
$304
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 86%.
About this market
If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 170 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/26 - 11/1)
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/26 - 11/1) — Above 150
95%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/26 - 11/1) — Above 160
90%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/26 - 11/1) — Above 180
68%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/26 - 11/1) — Above 185
58%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/26 - 11/1) — Above 190
50%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/26 - 11/1) — Above 195
39%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/26 - 11/1) — Above 200
28%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/26 - 11/1) — Above 205
19%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/26 - 11/1) — Above 210
8%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/26 - 11/1) — Above 220
4%
Resolution
Nov 3, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$444
Liquidity$304
CategoryElections
StatusOpen