🗳️ Elections
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/16 - 11/22)
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/16 - 11/22) — Above 185
Live
Resolves Nov 24, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
61%
No
39%
No (39%)Yes (61%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$107
Liquidity
$100
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 61%.
About this market
If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 185 from Nov 16, 2026 to Nov 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/16 - 11/22)
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/16 - 11/22) — Above 170
91%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/16 - 11/22) — Above 175
87%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/16 - 11/22) — Above 180
75%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/16 - 11/22) — Above 190
50%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/16 - 11/22) — Above 195
34%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/16 - 11/22) — Above 200
17%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/16 - 11/22) — Above 205
11%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/16 - 11/22) — Above 210
7%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/16 - 11/22) — Above 220
4%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/16 - 11/22) — Above 230
3%
Resolution
Nov 24, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$107
Liquidity$100
CategoryElections
StatusOpen