🗳️ Elections
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/5 - 10/11)

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/5 - 10/11) — Above 175

Live
Resolves Oct 13, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
82%
No
18%
No (18%)Yes (82%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$2k
Liquidity
$2k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 82%.

About this market

If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 175 from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/5 - 10/11)

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/5 - 10/11) — Above 150
97%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/5 - 10/11) — Above 200
31%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/5 - 10/11) — Above 225
8%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/5 - 10/11) — Above 250
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
82%
probability of YES
Kalshi
82%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Oct 13, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen