🗳️ Elections
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25)
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25) — Above 190
Live
Resolves Oct 27, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
41%
No
59%
No (59%)Yes (41%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$3k
Liquidity
$2k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 41%.
About this market
If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 190 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25)
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25) — Above 150
92%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25) — Above 160
87%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25) — Above 170
76%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25) — Above 180
59%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25) — Above 185
47%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25) — Above 195
35%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25) — Above 200
26%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25) — Above 205
19%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25) — Above 210
14%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25) — Above 220
9%
Resolution
Oct 27, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$3k
Liquidity$2k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen