🎯 Other
What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 11, 2026?
What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 11, 2026? — Magnitude of at least 5.4
Live
Resolves Oct 11, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
99%
No
1%
No (1%)Yes (99%)
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$6k
Liquidity
$3k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 99%.
About this market
If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 11, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.4 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 11, 2026?
What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 11, 2026? — Magnitude of at least 6.0
99%
What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 11, 2026? — Magnitude of at least 5.8
99%
What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 11, 2026? — Magnitude of at least 5.6
99%
What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 11, 2026? — Magnitude of at least 6.2
98%
What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 11, 2026? — Magnitude of at least 6.4
12%
What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 11, 2026? — Magnitude of at least 6.6
7%
What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 11, 2026? — Magnitude of at least 7.0
5%
What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 11, 2026? — Magnitude of at least 6.8
3%
Resolution
Oct 11, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$6k
Liquidity$3k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen