🎯 Other
What will the biggest earthquake be on Sep 22, 2026?

What will the biggest earthquake be on Sep 22, 2026? — Magnitude of at least 5.6

Live
Resolves Sep 22, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
11%
No
89%
No (89%)Yes (11%)
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$13
Liquidity
$12

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 11%.

About this market

If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Sep 22, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.6 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · What will the biggest earthquake be on Sep 22, 2026?

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
11%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Sep 22, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$13
Liquidity$12
CategoryOther
StatusOpen