🗳️ Elections
Blue tsunami in 2026?

Blue tsunami in 2026? — Will Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House AND hold 51 or more seats in the Senate?

Live
Resolves Feb 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
49%
No
51%
No (51%)Yes (49%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$10k
Liquidity
$258k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 49%. Kalshi has moved up 4pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If ALL of the following occur: Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Blue tsunami in 2026?

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
49%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Feb 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$10k
Liquidity$258k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen