🗳️ Elections

Blue tsunami in 2026?

Live
Resolves Jan 5, 2027Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
51%
No
49%
No (49%)Yes (51%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$674
Liquidity
$2k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 51%. Polymarket has moved up 9pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections: - Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House - Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueTsunami.pdf

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
51%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 5, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$674
Liquidity$2k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen